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    • Of course, I don't ascribe to the full sense of this book in the bible; there is meaning to life, and if none attempted to succeed likely none would.

      1 year ago by Abe Murray

      in Ecclesiastes figured this out first

    • Update - thinking more on this topic - put another post up at my personal site: "<a href="http://abe.rocketmonkeys.com/2008/04/worry-about-winning-not-stickiness/">Worry about...

      1 year ago by Abe Murray

      in Decentralizing work

    • Thanks Tijan - I agree that luck favors those prepared to take advantage of it. Even Taleb, more skeptical than I, agrees that you need to at least be in the game and above some minimum quality bar...

      1 year ago by Abe Murray

      in What is hidden evidence?

    • i like the theme abe. its definitely a bit annerving to dedicate several years of your life to something with an outcome, as you suggest that may have more to do with luck than your own effort...

      1 year ago by tijan

      in What is hidden evidence?

    • This is me - testing the Disqus integration. My biggest concern is longevity - I appreciate that the network effects of Disqus will make my comments easier to use for others; but I am also...

      1 year ago by Abe Murray

      in Decentralizing work

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Success and Alternative Histories

Started by Abe Murray · 1 year ago

There are two quotes from Fooled by Randomness that are worth discussing:

Beyond that it is all randomness: either by taking enormous (and unconscious) risks, or by being extraordinarily lucky.  Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor.  Wild success is attributable to variance.

and

Clearly the quality of a decision cannot be solely judged based on […] ... Continue reading »

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